Thursday, May 13, 2004

Poll Numbers: WOOHOO!

Poll numbers from CBS News are out:

President Bush's overall approval rating has fallen to the lowest level of his presidency, 44 percent, in the latest CBS News poll, reflecting the weight of instability in Iraq on public opinion, despite signs of improvement in the economy.

Two weeks ago, 46 percent of Americans approved of the job President Bush was doing. On April 9, his approval rating was 51 percent.

American's opinion of Mr. Bush's handling of the economy is also at an all-time low, 34 percent, while 60 percent disapprove, also a high of the Bush presidency. Increasing employment is seemingly not affecting Americans' view of Mr. Bush's economic policy.

This is excellent news on several levels:

First, the implosion of the Administration policies on Iraq is taking attention away from "good" news on the economy.

Second, one of the things you learn on a campaign is that if your opponent is self-destructing: get out of the way. Kerry has done a good job at this by picking his spots to criticize the administration without "piling on", particularly regarding the prisoner torture fiasco.

Third, Bush's ineptitude and failed foreign policy is the best campaign ad Kerry can have. Thus allowing him to save his money until later in the election cycle. The value of this cannot be overstated because of the advatage the incumbent has in relation to the spending windows and the dates of the party conventions.

Finally, Kerry is renowned to be an excellent closer. Combining this with the fact that undecided voters vote overwhelmingly for the challenger give Kerry an edge as we enter the summer months.

It's still very early, but the Kerry camp must be ecstatic. I know I am.

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